No. 1 Predictor of Being Mass Casualty Offender

The Satellite
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Per START, a University of Maryland organization -

His group found that among extremists “the No. 1 predictor of being classified as a mass casualty offender was having a U.S. military background – that outranked mental health problems, that outranked being a loner, that outranked having a previous criminal history or substance abuse issues.”

Long but chilling read of these types of
people. Beliefs in conspiracy, government is the enemy, coming civil war, etc.

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Be careful. Some folks on here will take the research personally and get offended.

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image

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The take is, per usual, incredibly stupid.

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Home grown terrorists.

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Interesting article. I hadn’t read anything about links between military experience and future domestic extremism/terrorism…but it does make some sense.

But, beyond just military experience, it seems to me that it misses the ultimate predictors of being a mass shooter:

Gender: Male [98% of mass shooters are male]
Race: White [anywhere from 54% to 65% (depending on the parameters of the various studies) of mass shooters are white, with many of the “unknown” in data likely adding to those totals]
Ideology: Right Wing/Conservative [of the documented acts domestic extremists, studies show as much as 95% are far-right in origin]

If we’re going to talk about it, let’s not sugar-coat the truth. That’s what multiple data analyses have proven.

Just a few (of many available) reference links below:

https://www.npr.org/2021/03/27/981803154/why-nearly-all-mass-shooters-are-men

https://www.theviolenceproject.org/mass-shooter-database/

https://nij.ojp.gov/topics/articles/public-mass-shootings-database-amasses-details-half-century-us-mass-shootings

https://www.statista.com/statistics/476456/mass-shootings-in-the-us-by-shooter-s-race/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/28/lone-wolf-far-right-terror-attack-warning

https://www.adl.org/resources/report/right-wing-extremist-terrorism-united-states

https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=5437&context=flr

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Would we have to compare the racial %’s to the overall racial %’s of the country to determine if that is a factor?

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Seems like something that makes sense to evaluate. That said, given the numbers cited…" Race: White [anywhere from 54% to 65%…", and the countries racial breakdown, race doesn’t seem to be much of a factor.

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